Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.006256 0.007194 0.008285 0.009665 0.011387 0.013495 0.016320
2025-11-23 0.005069 0.006236 0.007736 0.009860 0.012890 0.017225 0.024252
2025-11-30 0.004290 0.005500 0.007155 0.009681 0.013639 0.020007 0.032077
2025-12-07 0.003711 0.004899 0.006595 0.009332 0.013942 0.022100 0.039842
2025-12-14 0.003331 0.004505 0.006247 0.009197 0.014502 0.024782 0.050505
2025-12-21 0.003132 0.004342 0.006207 0.009531 0.015950 0.029749 0.070822
2025-12-28 0.002999 0.004256 0.006267 0.010036 0.017866 0.036694 0.105624
2026-01-04 0.002823 0.004079 0.006147 0.010179 0.019077 0.042650 0.147904
2026-01-11 0.002633 0.003858 0.005921 0.010074 0.019699 0.047405 0.196625
2026-01-18 0.002488 0.003695 0.005775 0.010097 0.020639 0.053828 0.277568
2026-01-25 0.002320 0.003480 0.005510 0.009827 0.020756 0.057610 0.358293
2026-02-01 0.002153 0.003252 0.005198 0.009407 0.020369 0.059346 0.432981
2026-02-08 0.001996 0.003041 0.004917 0.009059 0.020228 0.062728 0.573622
2026-02-15 0.001914 0.002954 0.004865 0.009230 0.021698 0.075069 1.097279
2026-02-22 0.001804 0.002810 0.004684 0.009066 0.022095 0.082887 1.859748
2026-03-01 0.001689 0.002649 0.004455 0.008747 0.021892 0.087388 2.916267
2026-03-08 0.001605 0.002536 0.004313 0.008623 0.022329 0.096798 6.289275
2026-03-15 0.001568 0.002507 0.004338 0.008929 0.024446 0.122425 58.684140
2026-03-22 0.001545 0.002504 0.004416 0.009389 0.027435 0.165057 NaN
2026-03-29 0.001497 0.002448 0.004375 0.009520 0.029170 0.203087 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001435 0.002363 0.004262 0.009424 0.029875 0.232589 NaN
2026-04-12 0.001387 0.002300 0.004192 0.009445 0.031179 0.279631 NaN
2026-04-19 0.001324 0.002204 0.004041 0.009198 0.031057 0.302799 NaN